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Challenge Networks' scenarios for 2030, published in 2006.
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'Scenarios: An Explorer’s Guide' is written for people who would like to build and use scenarios, and also for those who want to enhance their scenario thinking skills. We visualise our audience as people who are curious by nature, who want to make a difference, and who are highly motivated to acquire a deeper understanding of themselves and the world around them.
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"[F]ew contemporary challenges can be confined to one policy area anymore and governments have realized that a single-issue focus is in many instances insufficient. Consequently, they have started to experiment with foresight that cuts across the traditional boundaries of policy areas. This article will concentrate on three countries that have been at the forefront of this trend, the United Kingdom (UK), Singapore, and the Netherlands. To this end, the paper first discusses the concept of foresight and explains how it may contribute to public policy-making. It will then pursue a review of foresight activities in the UK, Singapore, and the Netherlands that cut across the conventional issue- and departmental boundaries. Finally, it will draw some lessons with regard to the key requirements and success factors if foresight ought to make an effective contribution to the development and implementation of public policies."
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"Vital primary sources underpinning the foreign policy debate." Pretty huge.
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"Strategic Trends provides a measure of context and coherence in an uncertain predictive area characterised by risk, ambiguity and change.... The DCDC approach goes beyond identifying the potential future military threats, to which our Armed Forces will have to respond, and looks at the developments in areas that will shape the wider strategic context within which Defence will have to interact."
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"The DCDC Global Strategic Trends Programme 3rd Edition is the latest iteration of work commenced by the Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC), as the Joint Doctrine and Concepts Centre (JDCC), in 2001 and is published here as a Adobe Acrobat PDF file. Strategic Trends explores a range of potential outcomes over the next 30 years. As with previous editions, the document has been placed in the public domain in order to generate debate and discussion."
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